As we predicted in April and reiterated on 9/3/2012 in our predictions update, Barack Obama will win re-election with over 290 electoral votes. Despite Governor Romney’s recent debate surge, President Obama will carry the election with slightly over 50% of the popular vote. Mr. Biden will win the debate against Paul Ryan tomorrow, stemming the recent negative trend from Debate 1. President Obama will recover for Debates 2 & 3.
UPDATED: We reiterate in the strongest terms possible that our predictions from April and September stand. President Obama, despite appearing to be dead even in nearly all national polls with Mitt Romney will win the presidency handily with over 300 electoral votes and will win the popular vote with lightly over 50%. Please consult our April 2012 prediction for the states he will win. The link appears below.