Mar 102012
 
Artist's rendition of Earth's magnetosphere.

Image via Wikipedia

The sun has fired another blast directly at Earth. A class M8.4 solar X-ray flare just was just sent hurling in our direction at 12:44 PM (EST) today from sunspot (AR1429) again . This is a major flare that is just a couple of points short of an X-Class flare and it is directly facing Earth so we will feel it with full force. Our magnetosphere is already stressed from the recent barrage and this can’t make things any better. The chance of a strong geomagnetic storm is probable. This post will be updated as more details are determined. Sometime during the morning of March 12, a strong (K7 or higher) geomagnetic storm will arrive in the form of a magnetic cloud resulting from the full halo CME generated on March 9.

Mar 092012
 

 

The Crystal Ball

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March 7th we predicted that a major solar flare would happen within 12-24 hours. It took 36 hours instead but an M6.3-Class flare has occurred from AR 1429 this morning. The resulting CME is directly facing Earth and will arrive  March 11th or early March 12th.   A major geomagnetic storm of Kp7 or greater will hit us potentially affecting radio, airline and GPS systems.

Mar 072012
 

The sun has hurled a 2nd X Class flare at Earth.  The flare was measured at X1.3 and was not directly aimed at Earth.  This is the 2nd X-Class flare from sunspot AR1429 in less than 24 hrs.  It is expected to reach the sometime in the next 24-48 hours and will create geomagnetic disturbances that may significantly disrupt radio and GPS systems.

Mar 062012
 
This image is a full-disk view of the X-ray Su...

Image via Wikipedia

A class X5.4 solar X-ray flare has erupted from major sunspot AR1429. This flare is Earth facing and inbound. Potential radiation storms and radio interruptions are possible with this flare.

Sunspot AR1429 has already sent two CMEs into space since it began turning earthward over the weekend. Neither CME is heading directly at Earth, but both are expected to hit our planet’s magnetosphere. NOAA forecasters predict the CME’s will create a 30% to 40% chance of geomagnetic storms during the next 24-48 hours.

Jan 282012
 
Crackling with Solar Flares Flare zoom in

A powerful X2-Class flare measuring 1.8 was unleashed from sunspot 1402 last night as it was rotating away from us. The protons unleashed by the Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) are bombarding Earth right now but fortunately, the sunspot was rotating away from us at the time of the explosion so it will just miss us. Nonetheless, the Earth will see some of the affects caused from this with radio interference and GPS issues. Had this sunspot directly faced us at the point of explosion, it could have caused more substantial effects. we may continue to see more light shows similar to the ones enjoyed in the Northern latitudes this past week. Most of the effects will reach Earth January 30th/31st.